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06/19/2007 - 's-Hertogenbosch, The Netherlands (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Top-seeded Spaniard Tommy Robredo and third-seeded Argentine Guillermo Canas were among Tuesday's first-round winners at the grass-court Ordina Open, a final Wimbledon tune-up.
Robredo held off Dutch qualifier Michel Koning 6-4, 7-6 (7-4), while Canas snuck past Latvian Ernests Gulbis 7-6 (7-5), 7-5 at Autotron Rosmalen. Canas, making his first grass-court appearance in two years, was a finalist here back in 2001.
A series of upsets occurred on Day 3, as Argentine Carlos Berlocq took out fifth-seeded former world No. 1 Spaniard Juan Carlos Ferrero 2-6, 6-3, 6-2; Frenchman Julien Benneteau bounced sixth-seeded Argentine Juan Ignacio Chela 6-4, 6-4; Argentine Sergio Roitman knocked out seventh-seeded German Philipp Kohlschreiber 6-2, retired; and Serbian Janko Tipsarevic vaulted past eighth- seeded Frenchman Marc Gicquel 6-4, 6-2. Kohlschreiber gave way to a shoulder injury against Roitman.
Other winners were Swiss lucky-loser Yves Allegro, German qualifier Michael Berrer and Czech lucky-loser Lukas Dlouhy.
The second round will be staged here on Wednesday, including matches for Robredo, second-seeded Croat Ivan Ljubicic and Canas. Robredo will encounter Belgian Kristof Vliegen, while Ljubicic will meet Italian Andreas Seppi and Canas will take on Berrer.
Wimbledon 2007 will commence Monday at the All England Club.
<< Seattle hits skid
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - After getting off to a great start in the month of June,
the Seattle Mariners have fallen on tough times.
This past week Seattle lost five straight games to the Chicago Cubs and
Houston Astros. The losing strea
<< Perlozzo's dismissal could be just the beginning of O's overhaul
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - I wasn't exactly the Amazing Kreskin a few weeks ago when I
predicted that Baltimore Orioles manager Sam Perlozzo was probably going to be
the first manager fired.
With some of the veterans openly questioning his decisions
<< Orioles hit rock bottom
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Baltimore Orioles are just 2-13 in the month of June
and are now in last place in the American League East standings after losing
eight straight home games to Colorado, Washington and Arizona. The team's
collapse over the
<< Rangers sign GM Daniels to extension
Arlington, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Texas Rangers signed general manager Jon
Daniels to a one-year contract extension that will keep him with the team
through the 2009 season.
Daniels joined the Rangers in 2002 as a baseball oper
Peer sneaks past Likhovtseva at Eastbourne >>
Eastbourne, England (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Sixth-seeded Israeli Shahar Peer
highlighted Tuesday's first-round winners at the $600,000 International
Women's Open, a final Wimbledon tune-up.
Peer held off Russian qualifier Elena Li
Toronto's Dichio is 50-50 for this week's game >>
Toronto, Ontario (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Toronto FC forward Danny Dichio sprained
his ankle Sunday and is 50-50 for Saturday's game at New England.
He suffered the injury in the 33rd minute of Sunday's 4-0 win over FC Dallas
and remained in t
Atlanta Krunk (CBA) >>
Hired Kenny Anderson as head coach.
Cubs activate Ward >>
Arlington, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Chicago Cubs have activated infielder
Daryle Ward from the 15-day disabled list. He landed on the DL on June 3 with
a left hip strain.
Ward is hitting .270 (10-for-37) on the season with 10 walks a
Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting
So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.
Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?
If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)
Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).
In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.
Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.
| The Bubble Breakdown | |||
| CONFERENCE | LOCKS | SHOULD BE INS | AT-LARGES TAKEN (assuming no auto bid outlier) |
| ACC Betting Odds | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| Big East Betting Odds | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| Big Ten Betting Odds | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Big 12 Betting Odds | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Pac-10 Betting Odds | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| SEC Betting Odds | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| MVC Betting Odds | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| MWC Betting Odds | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| TOTAL | 28 | 5 | 25 |
As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.
(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)
If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.
Atlantic Coast Conference
Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech
The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.
Work left to do:
Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.
Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).
Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.
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